Tuesday, May 26, 2009

GAMEBALL and JOKE 5/26 BRAVES at GIANTS

I was farting around Lookout Landing the other day, and noticed they listed win probability as part of their game summary……well….I don't want to get into THAT habit….but for shits and giggles lets take a quick look

You start out at 50% (a flip of the coin) so the max a team can add is 50%, and that’s a win……
Timmy had 30.8% added, (30% pitching, 0.8% hitting) so basically you can think of that as Timmy was 61.6% of a win

Rowand 14.2%
Renteria 9.2%

After Rowand's 2 run double, the Giants had a 75% chance of winning and never looked back

for what its worth, fangraphs link to this game here

GAMEBALL and JOKE
5/26 BRAVES at GIANTS

GAMEBALL

TIMMY

Kid is awesome, what can you say……three plus plus pitches and plus plus makeup..and that Changeup…..oh my god…..When I saw this kid in Single A, he had a rising moving mid 90's fastball and a knee buckling fall off the table curve…..you figure a decent 3rd offering, and he would be golden…..and then he comes up with this fading little change of pace that is almost identical with the fastball….same arm action, same release point…..its almost unfair……You sign this kid up NOW long term……with this kids makeup and feel of pitching….he's gonna pitch for a LONG time…..hell he could probably pitch with a mid 80's fastball and still get outs…….oh yeah….that 2 out walk was CRUCIAL as well…..

TIP OF THE CAP :
ROWAND
What??? I never said a bad word about this guy, always had faith….. =)
Well, that leadoff magic still got legs and the hit of the game

RENTERIA
Pile on baby…..Garrett Anderson was faster than you thought, but all is forgiven with a two run two out single….


JOKER

BOCHY

Hard to get too upset on a night like tonight, and we do have to give him credit for helping break Rowand out of his slump……but WHY THE HELL DID TIMMY GO 121?????
I swear when I saw him come out for the 8th, and saw the 0 up on the scoreboard, I was ready to jump off a bridge if Timmy got to 130 to "get that psychologically important shutout"……
Sure the pen worked hard the night before, but you had Merkin rested, Howry and multiple days rest, and certainly Affeldt and Wilson were available in case of trouble…..
Instead, you send the golden arm out there for what most modern day critics would say was a high pitch outing……
We coddle pitchers the old timers say…."we don't let them build arm strength"
maybe so, but from what I can see there seems to be a correlation between high pitch counts and pitchers breaking down…….
Well Nolan Ryan pitched 150 pitches many times, and he was fine…so whats the big deal?
Well think about this, George Burns drank and smoked cigars and lived past 100…does that mean cigar smoking and drinking is good for you????
Sure tons of pitchers ran up insane workloads years ago……but who knows how many fell by the wayside with dead arm or whatever…..only to drfit into obscurity……
Throwing a ball overhand is an unnatural motion that causes break down of muscle is a fact…….Smoking damages your DNA which can lead to cancer is a fact…….just because some great pitchers and some smokers never have issues does not change these facts…..
So welcome to the 21st century Bochy, ease up on the kid, tomorrow is another day……..
BTW, Nolan Ryan is President of the Rangers……I am curious to see how his "experiment with pitchers working the Nolan Ryan way, is going to come out" My guess…Rangers pitching will still suck

SMACK OF THE STICK :
CSN
When the fuck did you anoint Francoeur a superstar?
Yeah, had some good games against us, but that doesn't mean you have to turn the night into a Francouer love fest…..he is NOT Barry Bonds…..doesn;t have the ability and he is wearing the wrong uniform…..sure Giants highlights might be hard to find, but do we really need to see all the shit he has done against us????? Hell break out some Garrett Anderson highlights from the 2002 Angels while you are at it……

SABEAN
I love Aurilia too….but the jig is up….and sending Jesus down to Fresno AND going with 11 pitchers is just plain DUMB….you are delaying the inevitable and soon your hand will be forced…….and a phantom injury will befall Aurilia from which he won't return…….

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